Insights / kr
192820
코스맥스KR04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.65%
P05–P95 span
13.32%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+12.69%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.99%P25: -1.19%P50: 0.65%P75: 2.47%P95: 9.33%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 14.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.