Insights / kr
192820
코스맥스KR04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.37%
P05–P95 span
19.33%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.68%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.31%P25: -4.93%P50: -1.37%P75: 1.11%P95: 8.02%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 16.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.