161890

한국콜마KR06/04/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.21%
P05–P95 span
17.29%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+1.77%
Outer 90%
2/4(50%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
1/4(25%)
Below median
3/4(75%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.37%P25: -2.72%P50: 0.21%P75: 2.81%P95: 7.92%

Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.