Insights / kr
161890
한국콜마KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.31%
P05–P95 span
29.91%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.40
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+2.87%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
3/5(60%)
Above median
3/5(60%)
Below median
2/5(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.00%P25: -4.89%P50: -1.31%P75: 1.20%P95: 18.91%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.