Insights / kr
161890
한국콜마KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.72%
P05–P95 span
28.07%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.44
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-1.60%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
5/9(56%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -20.50%P25: -4.52%P50: -0.72%P75: 2.24%P95: 7.57%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.