161890

한국콜마KR05/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.21%
P05–P95 span
22.23%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.01%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -14.44%P25: -2.93%P50: -0.21%P75: 1.27%P95: 7.79%

Computed at: 05/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.