161890

한국콜마KR04/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.12%
P05–P95 span
9.49%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.89%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.86%P25: -2.03%P50: -0.12%P75: 2.63%P95: 5.64%

Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.