Insights / kr
161890
한국콜마KR04/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.15%
P05–P95 span
17.57%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.38%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.66%P25: -3.62%P50: -1.15%P75: 0.58%P95: 6.91%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.