Insights / kr
145720
덴티움KR05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.86%
P05–P95 span
41.74%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.17
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.05%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -20.09%P25: -6.35%P50: -1.86%P75: 1.66%P95: 21.65%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.