Insights / kr
145720
덴티움KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.32%
P05–P95 span
18.19%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.78%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.64%P25: -2.84%P50: -0.32%P75: 1.49%P95: 12.55%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.