Insights / kr
112610
씨에스윈드KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.48%
P05–P95 span
19.21%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.29%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.77%P25: -2.06%P50: -0.48%P75: 1.78%P95: 7.43%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.