Insights / kr
112610
씨에스윈드KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.65%
P05–P95 span
16.36%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.81%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.43%P25: -2.55%P50: -0.65%P75: 1.09%P95: 10.93%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.