096770

SK이노베이션KR05/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.23%
P05–P95 span
19.94%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.62%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.16%P25: -1.66%P50: 0.23%P75: 1.82%P95: 12.78%

Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.