096770

SK이노베이션KR05/13/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.26%
P05–P95 span
22.61%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.01%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.08%P25: -2.40%P50: 0.26%P75: 3.29%P95: 13.54%

Computed at: 05/13/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.1 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.