Insights / kr
093370
후성KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.57%
P05–P95 span
16.25%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+52.07%
Outer 90%
1/6(17%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
6/6(100%)
Below median
0/6(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.02%P25: -0.76%P50: 1.57%P75: 4.51%P95: 12.23%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.