Insights / kr
093370
후성KR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.47%
P05–P95 span
12.13%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+41.69%
Outer 90%
1/7(14%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
6/7(86%)
Below median
1/7(14%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.43%P25: -2.84%P50: -0.47%P75: 0.98%P95: 5.70%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.