090430

아모레퍼시픽KR06/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-2.03%
P05–P95 span
16.34%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+5.57%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.91%P25: -5.21%P50: -2.03%P75: 0.50%P95: 7.43%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.