090430

아모레퍼시픽KR06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.46%
P05–P95 span
12.71%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+9.39%
Outer 90%
0/3(0%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.20%P25: -3.27%P50: -0.46%P75: 1.35%P95: 3.51%

Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.