Insights / kr
090430
아모레퍼시픽KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.15%
P05–P95 span
18.41%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.64%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.32%P25: -6.92%P50: -2.15%P75: 0.80%P95: 7.09%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.