090430

아모레퍼시픽KR05/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.01%
P05–P95 span
25.35%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.49
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.67%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.95%P25: -3.36%P50: -1.01%P75: 3.61%P95: 18.39%

Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.