090430

아모레퍼시픽KR05/11/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.75%
P05–P95 span
30.30%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.39
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.05%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.57%P25: -4.15%P50: -0.75%P75: 1.96%P95: 18.73%

Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.2 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.