090430

아모레퍼시픽KR05/10/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.05%
P05–P95 span
22.46%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.55%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.23%P25: -1.63%P50: 1.05%P75: 5.63%P95: 14.23%

Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.