069960

현대백화점KR05/31/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.38%
P05–P95 span
13.40%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+70.71%
Outer 90%
0/7(0%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.80%P25: -0.76%P50: 2.38%P75: 5.55%P95: 8.60%

Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.