069960

현대백화점KR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.41%
P05–P95 span
16.45%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+68.56%
Outer 90%
1/8(13%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
8/8(100%)
Below median
0/8(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.36%P25: -1.86%P50: -0.41%P75: 1.22%P95: 5.09%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.