051600

한전KPSKR05/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.19%
P05–P95 span
27.22%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.46
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-6.45%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.36%P25: -3.24%P50: 0.19%P75: 2.21%P95: 14.86%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 24.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.