051600

한전KPSKR05/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.97%
P05–P95 span
25.43%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.49
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.04%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.72%P25: -3.96%P50: -0.97%P75: 2.37%P95: 12.71%

Computed at: 05/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 22.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.