047810

한국항공우주KR05/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.52%
P05–P95 span
24.20%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.17%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.38%P25: -2.98%P50: 1.52%P75: 5.06%P95: 13.82%

Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.