047810

한국항공우주KR05/13/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.14%
P05–P95 span
26.36%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.47
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.31%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.98%P25: -2.54%P50: -0.14%P75: 2.99%P95: 15.38%

Computed at: 05/13/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.