Insights / kr
039490
키움증권KR05/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.46%
P05–P95 span
24.21%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-12.95%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.08%P25: -3.19%P50: -0.46%P75: 4.19%P95: 11.12%
Computed at: 05/06/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.