Insights / kr
039490
키움증권KR05/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.77%
P05–P95 span
29.40%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.41
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-21.49%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -17.37%P25: -2.03%P50: 0.77%P75: 5.26%P95: 12.04%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.