036460

한국가스공사KR04/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.54%
P05–P95 span
12.08%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.25%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.22%P25: -4.88%P50: -1.54%P75: 1.92%P95: 3.86%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.