Insights / kr
036460
한국가스공사KR04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.38%
P05–P95 span
28.67%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.43
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.17%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.22%P25: -4.34%P50: -0.38%P75: 3.57%P95: 16.45%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 11.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.