Insights / kr
035720
카카오KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.32%
P05–P95 span
15.24%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.83%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.89%P25: -2.88%P50: 0.32%P75: 2.79%P95: 8.35%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.