Insights / kr
035720
카카오KR05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.63%
P05–P95 span
15.60%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.74%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.10%P25: -2.92%P50: -0.63%P75: 1.66%P95: 6.50%
Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 22.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.