Insights / kr
034730
SKKR05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.56%
P05–P95 span
23.85%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+15.09%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.60%P25: -1.42%P50: 0.56%P75: 4.39%P95: 19.25%
Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.