Insights / kr
033780
KT&GKR04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.13%
P05–P95 span
14.37%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.10%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
10/10(100%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.80%P25: -2.11%P50: 1.13%P75: 3.62%P95: 7.57%
Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 26.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.