Insights / kr
033780
KT&GKR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.96%
P05–P95 span
14.24%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.64%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
10/10(100%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.19%P25: -1.55%P50: 0.96%P75: 3.27%P95: 9.05%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.