Insights / kr
032830
삼성생명KR05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.40%
P05–P95 span
21.00%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+23.49%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.57%P25: -2.93%P50: -0.40%P75: 3.34%P95: 8.42%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.