Insights / kr
032830
삼성생명KR05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.85%
P05–P95 span
16.99%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+25.32%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.97%P25: -5.78%P50: -1.85%P75: 2.22%P95: 7.01%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.