Insights / kr
030000
제일기획KR06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.40%
P05–P95 span
16.62%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+7.28%
Outer 90%
3/3(100%)
Middle 50%
1/3(33%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.20%P25: -1.89%P50: 0.40%P75: 2.91%P95: 8.42%
Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.