Insights / kr
030000
제일기획KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.39%
P05–P95 span
12.11%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+4.89%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
4/5(80%)
Above median
3/5(60%)
Below median
2/5(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.92%P25: -2.38%P50: -0.39%P75: 1.54%P95: 5.20%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.