Insights / kr
028260
삼성물산KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.71%
P05–P95 span
28.59%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.43
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-3.30%
Outer 90%
4/8(50%)
Middle 50%
2/8(25%)
Above median
5/8(63%)
Below median
3/8(38%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -16.60%P25: -3.69%P50: -0.71%P75: 2.12%P95: 11.99%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.