Insights / kr
028260
삼성물산KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.81%
P05–P95 span
21.27%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-0.12%
Outer 90%
6/9(67%)
Middle 50%
4/9(44%)
Above median
9/9(100%)
Below median
0/9(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.60%P25: -3.02%P50: 0.81%P75: 6.59%P95: 15.67%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.