Insights / kr

028050

삼성E&AKR06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

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Median move
-1.70%
P05–P95 span
23.32%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.53
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+4.95%
Outer 90%
1/3(33%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.93%P25: -3.92%P50: -1.70%P75: 1.03%P95: 17.39%

Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.