Insights / kr

028050

삼성E&AKR06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

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Median move
+0.38%
P05–P95 span
11.00%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-7.51%
Outer 90%
2/5(40%)
Middle 50%
1/5(20%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.06%P25: -2.13%P50: 0.38%P75: 3.42%P95: 5.94%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.