Insights / kr
026960
동서KR04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.74%
P05–P95 span
22.88%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.45%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.34%P25: -1.87%P50: 0.74%P75: 4.71%P95: 17.53%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 11.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.