Insights / kr
026960
동서KR04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.56%
P05–P95 span
41.23%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.18
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.68%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.94%P25: -2.35%P50: -0.56%P75: 1.35%P95: 36.30%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.