Insights / kr
023530
롯데쇼핑KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.93%
P05–P95 span
26.19%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.39%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.34%P25: -5.39%P50: -0.93%P75: 4.31%P95: 14.85%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.