Insights / kr
023530
롯데쇼핑KR05/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.86%
P05–P95 span
38.25%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.24
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.63%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.83%P25: -0.75%P50: 2.86%P75: 8.39%P95: 34.41%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.