Insights / kr
023530
롯데쇼핑KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.93%
P05–P95 span
13.49%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+15.22%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.52%P25: -6.96%P50: -2.93%P75: 0.00%P95: 2.97%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.